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Today: October 1, 2025
17 hours ago

Global Stock Market Rises as Investors Await U.S. Jobs Data and Navigate Political Risks



The stock market started the week on a positive note. Futures tied to the Dow climbed 0.3%, while S&P 500 futures rose 0.4%. The Nasdaq added 0.5%, signaling renewed investor optimism. This follows a losing streak last week, where the S&P 500 fell 0.3% and the Dow slipped 0.2%. Despite those declines, all three indexes remain up for September, with the S&P 500 gaining 2.8%. Investors are cautiously optimistic as they look ahead to crucial U.S. economic data. The looming government shutdown remains a concern. A meeting between President Trump and congressional leaders could determine whether key reports, including Friday’s jobs data, will be released on time. The labor report, a cornerstone for Federal Reserve decisions, could set the tone for October trading.

Jobs Data in Focus as Fed Considers Next Moves

űAll eyes are on this week’s U.S. jobs data. Wall Street expects the economy to have added 43,000 new nonfarm payrolls in September. The unemployment rate is projected to hold steady at 4.3%. Stronger-than-expected job growth could cool expectations for further Fed rate cuts. Last week, jobless claims came in lower than anticipated, and GDP growth was revised upward. These signs of resilience may limit the central bank’s room to ease policy. Inflation remains slightly above the Fed’s 2% target but in line with forecasts. That stability offers hope that rate cuts can continue without sparking new inflation pressures. Investors will also track consumer sentiment and spending, as frustration over high prices persists.

Stock Market in Asia Rises Amid Global Optimism

Asian stocks traded mostly higher, echoing Wall Street’s rebound. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng jumped 2%, while Shanghai’s Composite Index gained 0.9%. In South Korea, the Kospi surged 1.3%, and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 rose 0.9%. Tokyo’s Nikkei was the lone laggard, slipping 0.7%. Investors across Asia are eyeing fresh factory data from China and a key sentiment survey from Japan’s central bank later this week. U.S. futures also moved higher early Monday, signaling continued optimism. The global rally follows easing inflation concerns and hopes for a steady policy path from the Fed. However, uncertainty around new U.S. tariffs and a potential government shutdown keeps markets on edge.

Stock Market Responds to Tariffs and Inflation Data

New U.S. tariffs announced by President Trump added a layer of uncertainty. The levies target imports like pharmaceuticals, kitchen cabinets, and heavy trucks. While details remain scarce, the move stirred mild volatility in the stock market. Still, some sectors benefited. Truck manufacturer Paccar gained more than 5%, while pharmaceutical giants Eli Lilly and Pfizer posted small gains. Inflation data also helped calm investor nerves. Prices rose 2.7% in August, matching forecasts and suggesting inflation remains under control. This alignment with expectations reinforces market confidence in the Fed’s gradual approach. Investors continue to weigh growth risks against policy flexibility.

DOW and S&P 500 Stay on Track Despite Political Tension

Despite last week’s pullback, the Dow and S&P 500 remain on pace to close the quarter with solid gains. The Dow is up 1.5% for September, while the tech-driven Nasdaq has rallied 2.9%. Markets appear resilient in the face of political uncertainty. Historically, U.S. shutdowns have had limited long-term impact on the stock market. Investors are instead focusing on fundamentals — earnings, jobs data, and inflation. With the third quarter earnings season set to begin soon, companies like Nike and Carnival will provide early signals of corporate health. As Asia’s strength adds momentum, global markets enter October with cautious optimism, balancing short-term risks against long-term opportunity.

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